Critical Path Data Science

Decision science for fire planning.

Simulation and optimization tools that help fire and emergency-management professionals explore where a fire could go, who could be at risk, and how to prepare.

simulated spread · 1–8 hr isochrones · illustrative

New · Suppression Planner

Rehearse the response before the smoke.

Run the fire once. Then scrub the timeline, place control lines, engines, and tanker drops at the moment they would arrive, and re-simulate from that point. Branch a scenario to compare two different moves from the same decision point — the untouched baseline stays on screen for contrast.

Baseline
No intervention · 8 hr
reference
Scenario A
Dozer line at T=1.0 hr
−340 ac
Scenario B
Tanker drop at T=1.0 hr
−210 ac
timeline scrubbing · 30-min steps branch up to 4 scenarios acres · structures · people, vs. baseline KMZ & shapefile export

The platform

One place to ask what a fire would do.

Interactive fire map

Click a point on the map and watch a simulated fire’s 1, 2, 4, and 8-hour spread contours, with the structures and census block groups at risk counted for each horizon.

High-Risk Ignition Finder

Inverse multi-objective optimization works backwards from your targets to find the ignition your county should worry about most — for structures and for people.

Controlled Burn Planner

Stage prescribed-burn ignition schedules and suppression lines, animate the burn hour by hour, and export the result as KMZ or shapefiles for GIS.

Evacuation alert staging

Plan wave-by-wave alert schedules that balance road capacity against simulated fire arrival, aiming to clear every zone before the modeled fire reaches it.

Ask the question forward models can’t.

A forward model tells you what one scenario does. Inverse multi-objective optimization runs the physics backwards from the consequences you care about — which ignition, which conditions, which response produces the outcome you fear, and what to do about it.

Under the hood

Real physics. Live data. Hard math.

Fire physics

Level-set fire spread simulation on real fuel and terrain rasters — the same model class used in operational forecasting.

Live data

NOAA forecast weather pulled at run time, plus building footprints and census vulnerability data for consequence estimates.

Inverse optimization

Multi-objective optimization searches the scenario space for the cases that matter — worst-case ignitions, best-value responses — instead of asking you to guess them one run at a time.

Get in early.

We’re pre-launch. Leave your name and email and we’ll reach out for a conversation about your county, your risk, and your data.